Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.004603 0.005099 0.005613 0.006184 0.006801 0.007446 0.008169
2025-01-19 0.003786 0.004487 0.005251 0.006142 0.007150 0.008250 0.009539
2025-01-26 0.003245 0.004043 0.004948 0.006042 0.007319 0.008757 0.010488
2025-02-02 0.002879 0.003745 0.004759 0.006020 0.007534 0.009279 0.011429
2025-02-09 0.002580 0.003491 0.004587 0.005987 0.007706 0.009731 0.012275
2025-02-16 0.002411 0.003375 0.004566 0.006120 0.008067 0.010401 0.013381
2025-02-23 0.002178 0.003158 0.004398 0.006051 0.008166 0.010743 0.014085
2025-03-02 0.002009 0.003008 0.004302 0.006061 0.008352 0.011187 0.014914
2025-03-09 0.001939 0.002984 0.004363 0.006272 0.008792 0.011952 0.016152
2025-03-16 0.001825 0.002889 0.004323 0.006341 0.009046 0.012481 0.017099
2025-03-23 0.001742 0.002831 0.004327 0.006466 0.009371 0.013102 0.018171
2025-03-30 0.001674 0.002790 0.004349 0.006610 0.009722 0.013762 0.019299
2025-04-06 0.001510 0.002600 0.004158 0.006460 0.009679 0.013914 0.019787
2025-04-13 0.001392 0.002472 0.004048 0.006417 0.009779 0.014255 0.020529
2025-04-20 0.001269 0.002325 0.003901 0.006314 0.009786 0.014467 0.021097
2025-04-27 0.001178 0.002224 0.003816 0.006291 0.009902 0.014825 0.021862
2025-05-04 0.001093 0.002124 0.003726 0.006256 0.009997 0.015151 0.022587
2025-05-11 0.001055 0.002101 0.003752 0.006394 0.010341 0.015825 0.023795
2025-05-18 0.000973 0.001996 0.003644 0.006323 0.010377 0.016069 0.024412
2025-05-25 0.000914 0.001928 0.003592 0.006334 0.010530 0.016477 0.025261
2025-06-01 0.000903 0.001943 0.003672 0.006552 0.010995 0.017332 0.026747
2025-06-08 0.000863 0.001903 0.003660 0.006623 0.011241 0.017879 0.027805
2025-06-15 0.000836 0.001886 0.003685 0.006752 0.011575 0.018555 0.029055